Ðñüóöáôåò Êáôá÷ùñÞóåéò |Áñ÷åßï
Áñ÷åßï: 2015
19 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2015The Greek Time BombÉóôïóåëßäá «Project-Syndicate»
19 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2015H ÅëëçíéêÞ ÙñïëïãéáêÞ ÂüìâáÉóôïóåëßäá «Project-Syndicate»
11 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2015ÅêëïãÝò: Êßíäõíïé êáé åðéëïãÝòÅöçìåñßäá «¸èíïò ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
Áñ÷åßï: 2014
8 Éïõíßïõ 2014The Periphery¢s Purgatory
3 Éïõíßïõ 2014ON THE STATE OF THE TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONSHIP
Áñ÷åßï: 2013
6 Äåêåìâñßïõ 2013The Re-Division of EuropeÉóôïóåëßäá «Project-Syndicate»
21 Áõãïýóôïõ 2013The Eurozone¢s Misplaced Orthodoxies
12 Éïõíßïõ 2013Bismarck versus Bismarck
29 Ìáúïõ 2013The German Question Revisited
25 Áðñéëßïõ 2013I Brought the Euro to Greece
4 Áðñéëßïõ 2013Europe¢s Perpetual Crisis
6 Ìáñôßïõ 2013A Global “New Deal”?
15 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2013Greece and the Euro
21 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2013Globalization¢s European Test
Áñ÷åßï: 2012
1 Éïõíßïõ 2012Greece¢s Catharsis?
9 Ìáúïõ 2012Steering Clear of the Euro Precipice
3 Ìáúïõ 2012Ç ÅëëÜäá óôç ÌÜ÷ç ôçò ÅõñþðçòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
Áñ÷åßï: 2011
16 Íïåìâñßïõ 2011Ôåëåõôáßá Åõêáéñßá;Åöçìåñßäá «¸èíïò ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
9 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2011ÁíÜêôçóç ôçò ÷áìÝíçò åìðéóôïóýíçò ãéá íá ìåßíïõìå óôï åõñþÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
4 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2011Ãéá íá Ìåßíïõìå óôï ÅõñþÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
22 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2011Decision time for the eurozone - Project Syndicate
24 Áðñéëßïõ 2011Ç EëëÜäá óå êñßóç: õðÜñ÷åé äéÝîïäïò;Åöçìåñßäá «ÊáèçìåñéíÞ»
19 Áðñéëßïõ 2011Ç EëëÜäá óå Êñßóç: ÕðÜñ÷åé ÄéÝîïäïò;Åöçìåñßäá «ÊáèçìåñéíÞ»
3 Ìáñôßïõ 2011AÃÉÏÃÑÁÖÉÅÓ ÓêÜëåòÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
10 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2011Policy prescriptions for curing -eurozonitis-
7 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2011×ÑÇÌÁÔÉÓÔÇÑÉO 1999-2000
17 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2011Ç Ðáãêïóìéïðïßçóç óå ÊñßóçÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
Áñ÷åßï: 2010
26 Éïõíßïõ 2010Ïé äéáñèñùôéêÝò áëëáãÝò èá ôïíþóïõí ôçí ïéêïíïìßáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
20 Éïõíßïõ 2010ÊËÅÉÄÉ ÃÉÁ ÅÎÏÄÏ ÁÐÏ ÔÇÍ ÊÑÉÓÇ ÏÉ ÌÅÔÁÑÑÕÈÌÉÓÅÉÓÅöçìåñßäá «¸èíïò ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
26 Ìáñôßïõ 2010Êñßóç êáé ÁíÜêáìøçÐåñéïäéêü «Ìåôáññýèìéóç»
4 Ìáñôßïõ 2010ÁÑÈÑÏ ÓÔÇÍ ÇËÅÊÔÑÏÍÉÊÇ ÅÖÇÌÅÑÉÄÁ NEWSIT
3 Ìáñôßïõ 2010ÄÞëùóç óôçí åöçìåñßäá Ôï ÂçìáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôï ÂÞìá»
18 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2010Êñßóéìåò ¿ñåòÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
18 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2010Ïéêïíïìßá:Êñßóéìåò ÅðéëïãÝòÐåñéïäéêü «ÅÐÉÊÁÉÑÁ»
10 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2010ÅëëçíéêÞ Ïéêïíïìßá:¸îïäïò áðü ôçí êñßóçÐåñéïäéêü «FORUM»
9 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2010ÙÑÁ ÁÍÁÄÉÐËÙÓÇÓ ÓÔÇÍ ÏÉÊÏÍÏÌÉÊÇ ÐÏËÉÔÉÊÇÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
Áñ÷åßï: 2009
12 Äåêåìâñßïõ 2009Ìåßùóç ôïõ åëëåßììáôïò ôï 2010 óôï 8% ôïõ ÁÅÐÅöçìåñßäá «Ï Êüóìïò ôïõ ÅðåíäõôÞ»
9 Äåêåìâñßïõ 2009ÅëëÜäá êáé Êñßóç: ÁíÜêáìøç Þ Ïðéóèïäñüìçóç;Åöçìåñßäá «Áîßá»
1 Äåêåìâñßïõ 2009Ïéêïíïìßá: Êñßóç êáé ÐñïïðôéêÝòÐåñéïäéêü «Äçìüóéïò ÔïìÝáò»
26 Íïåìâñßïõ 2009ÁíÜêáìøç Þ Óôáóéìüôçôá;Ðåñéïäéêü «The Economist»
15 Íïåìâñßïõ 2009Êéíäõíïé êáé ÐñïïðôéêÝò ãéá ôçí ÏéêïíïìßáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
1 Íïåìâñßïõ 2009ÌåôÜ ôéò ÂñõîÝëëåòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
26 Éïõëßïõ 2009ÓôñáâÜ ÁñìåíßæïõìåÅöçìåñßäá «¸èíïò ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
4 Éïõëßïõ 2009«ÅëëÜäá: Êñßóç êáé ÐñïïðôéêÞ»Åöçìåñßäá «Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
21 Éïõíßïõ 2009¿ñá ÁðïöÜóåùíÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
29 Áðñéëßïõ 2009Ðáãêüóìéá Êñßóç êáé ÅëëÜäáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
7 Áðñéëßïõ 2009«ÍÝá ÔÜîç» êáé ÅëëÜäáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
15 Ìáñôßïõ 2009¸ëëåéììá Óõíáßíåóçò, Þ Çãåóßáò ;Åöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
15 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2009Ãéá Ýíá ÍÝï Åêóõã÷ñïíéóìüÅöçìåñßäá «ÊõñéáêÜôéêç Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
15 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2009Êéíäõíåýåé ôï Åõñþ;Åöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
14 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2009Êñßóç êáé êçäåìïíßáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
24 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2009ÔÝóóåñá ðñïáðáéôïýìåíá ãéá åðéóôñïöÞ óôçí áíÜðôõîçÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
18 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2009Ôï êáëü ôïõ ôüðïõÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
Áñ÷åßï: 2008
17 Äåêåìâñßïõ 2008ÊïéíùíéêÞ ÅîÝãåñóç êáé Ïéêïíïìéêïß ÊßíäõíïéÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
22 Íïåìâñßïõ 2008Ãéá ôçí ¸îïäï áðü ôçí ÊñßóçÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
20 Íïåìâñßïõ 2008Óþñåõóç ÊéíäýíùíÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
5 Íïåìâñßïõ 2008ÏìðÜìáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
29 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2008Ç ¿ñá ôçò ÊåíôñïáñéóôåñÜòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
16 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2008ÌáèÞìáôá áðü ôçí ÊñßóçÅöçìåñßäá «Ôï ÂÞìá»
10 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2008ÊñÜôïò êáé ÏéêïíïìßáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
6 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2008Êñßóç êáé ÅêëïãÝòÅöçìåñßäá «Ôï ÂÞìá»
24 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2008ÁðÜíôçóç óôçí ÊñßóçÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
17 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2008Ïéêïíïìßá êáé ÁîéïðéóôßáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
10 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2008Ðñüêëçóç ÍßêçòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
3 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2008Êñßóç ÐïëéôéêÞòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
27 Áõãïýóôïõ 2008ÍÝåò ÐñïêëÞóåéò ãéá ôçí ÏéêïíïìßáÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá»
26 Áõãïýóôïõ 20083ç ÓåðôÝìâñçÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
29 Éïõëßïõ 2008ÌåôáññõèìßóåéòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
22 Éïõëßïõ 2008ÄéÝîïäïò óôçí ÊñßóçÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
16 Éïõëßïõ 2008Ç Åõñþðç óå Õðï÷þñçóçÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
9 Éïõëßïõ 2008ÏõÜóéãêôïí, Éïýëéïò 08Åöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
1 Éïõëßïõ 2008ÄéåèíÞò Êñßóç êáé ÐïëéôéêÞÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
24 Éïõíßïõ 2008ÐïëéôéêÞ ÁëëáãÞÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
18 Éïõíßïõ 2008H ÐïëéôéêÞ óå ÄïêéìáóßáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
11 Éïõíßïõ 2008Ðñüåäñïò ÏìðÜìá;Åöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
21 Ìáúïõ 2008×ùñßò ÁöïñéóìïýòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
5 Ìáúïõ 2008Áêñßâåéá êáé ÅõñþÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
15 Áðñéëßïõ 2008ÄéåèíÞò Êñßóç , Åõñþ êáé ï ñüëïò ôïõ ÊñÜôïõòÅöçìåñßäá «ÊõñéáêÜôéêç Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
27 Ìáñôßïõ 2008ÄéåèíÞò Êñßóç êáé ç ÅëëÜäáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
Áñ÷åßï: 2007
10 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2007Ôï ÄéáêýâåõìáÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
4 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2007ÐÁÓÏÊ êáé ÌåôáññõèìßóåéòÅöçìåñßäá «ÊõñéáêÜôéêç Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
20 Éïõíßïõ 2007Ãéá Ìéá ÐñáãìáôéêÞ Ìåôáññýèìéóç - ÊñÜôïò êáé ÐïëßôçòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
15 Éïõíßïõ 2007Óôçí Ðñþôç ÃñáììÞ ôçò ÁíÜðôõîçòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
11 Éïõíßïõ 2007ÐåñéâÜëëïí êáé ÐïëéôéêÞÅöçìåñßäá «Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
9 Éïõíßïõ 2007Ðáãêïóìéïðïßçóç êáé ðñïïäåõôéêÞ ðïëéôéêÞÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
7 Éïõíßïõ 2007Ðáãêïóìéïðïßçóç, ïéêïíïìßá ôçò áãïñÜò êáé ðñïïäåõôéêÞ ðïëéôéêÞÐåñéïäéêü «Ìåôáññýèìéóç»
6 Éïõíßïõ 2007ÐÁÓÏÊ êáé ÅêëïãÝòÐåñéïäéêü «ÁÍÔÉ»
18 Ìáúïõ 2007Ôï Äéáêýâåõìá ôùí Åêëïãþí
25 Áðñéëßïõ 2007ÌáèÞìáôá áðü ôç ÃáëëßáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
3 Áðñéëßïõ 2007Ôï ÔÝëïò ôçò ÁìåñéêáíéêÞò Ìïíïêñáôïñßáò;Åöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
28 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2007ÁñéóôåñÜ êáé ÌåôáññõèìßóåéòÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
1 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2007Ãéá ¸íá ÍÝï Êýêëï ÌåôáññõèìßóåùíÐåñéïäéêü «Ìåôáññýèìéóç»
Áñ÷åßï: 2006
29 Íïåìâñßïõ 2006ÁëëáãÞ óôçí ÐáéäåßáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
24 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2006ÌåôÜ ôéò åêëïãÝò, ôé;Åöçìåñßäá «ÊõñéáêÜôéêç Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
18 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2006Ïéêïíïìßá : Ç ÍÝá ÐñüêëçóçÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
4 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2006Êáôåõèýíóåéò ãéá ôçí ÁíÜðôõîç ôçò ÅëëçíéêÞò ÏéêïíïìßáòÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá»
10 Áõãïýóôïõ 2006Ó÷üëéï Ñé÷Üñäïõ Óùìåñßôç óôç Íôüúôóå ÂÝëëå: Ç ðåñßðôùóç Ðáðáíôùíßïõ
5 Éïõëßïõ 2006Ãéá ìéá ÓôñáôçãéêÞ ôçò ÁñéóôåñÜò óôçí ÅõñþðçÅöçìåñßäá «Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
3 Éïõëßïõ 2006Ðüñïé ãéá ôçí ÁíÜðôõîç êáé ôçí ÊïéíùíéêÞ Óõíï÷ÞÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
15 Ìáúïõ 2006ãéá ôïí ÁíäñÝá ÐáðáíäñÝïõ
25 Áðñéëßïõ 2006To: Ôhe Editor of the Financial Times
16 Áðñéëßïõ 2006Ï êüóìïò ôñÝ÷åé. Ç ÅëëÜäá ;Åöçìåñßäá «ÊõñéáêÜôéêç Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
10 Ìáñôßïõ 2006Ôï åðüìåíï âÞìáÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
9 Ìáñôßïõ 2006Ôï ÐÁÓÏÊ áíáêÜìðôåé êáé óôçí ðñüèåóç øÞöïõ Ý÷åé ìçäåíßóåé ôç äéáöïñÜ ìå ôç ÍÄ ...Åöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá»
17 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2006Ç ÁëÞèåéá ãéá ôçí ÏéêïíïìßáÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
Áñ÷åßï: 2005
20 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2005ÁíÜðôõîç êáé Áðáó÷üëçóçÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
17 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2005Ãéá Ýíá ÍÝï Åõñùðáúêü ÎåêßíçìáÅöçìåñßäá «Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
1 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2005Ðïõ ÐÜåé ôï ÐÁÓÏÊ;Åöçìåñßäá «¸èíïò»
1 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2005Ïéêïíïìßá, ÁíÜðôõîç êáé ÌåôáññõèìßóåéòÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá»
16 Éïõíßïõ 2005Ïé ðïëéôéêÝò ðñïûðïèÝóåéò ôùí ìåôáññõèìßóåùíÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
9 Éïõíßïõ 2005ÄéáñèñùôéêÝò ÁëëáãÝò : Í.Ä. êáé ÐÁÓÏÊ
1 Éïõíßïõ 2005Ïé ðïëéôéêÝò ðñïûðïèÝóåéò ôùí ìåôáññõèìßóåùíÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá ôïõ ÓáââÜôïõ»
22 Ìáúïõ 2005Êé üìùò ÷ñåéáæüìáóôå Ýíá íÝï êýìá åêóõã÷ñïíéóìïýÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
22 Áðñéëßïõ 2005Ç ÓõíôáãìáôéêÞ ÓõíèÞêç êáé ï Ñüëïò ôçò ÅõñùðáúêÞò ¸íùóçò óôçí Ðáãêüóìéá ÄéáêõâÝñíçóç
17 Áðñéëßïõ 2005Ìåôáîý Åõñþðçò êáé ÁìåñéêÞò: Ç ÄåîéÜ ÅðéëïãÞÅöçìåñßäá «ÂÞìá ôçò ÊõñéáêÞò»
2 Áðñéëßïõ 2005Ç ÅõñùðáúêÞ ÅêôñïðÞ ôçò Í.Ä.Åöçìåñßäá «Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
26 Ìáñôßïõ 2005EõñùðáúêÞ Åíïðïßçóç êáé ÓõíôáãìáôéêÞ ÓõíèÞêçÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá»
13 Ìáñôßïõ 2005Ïéêïíïìßá : ¸íáò ÷ñüíïò ÍÝáò Äçìïêñáôßáò
24 Öåâñïõáñßïõ 2005ÐñïÝ÷åé ôï èÝìá ôçò ïéêïíïìßáò ...Åöçìåñßäá «ÊáèçìåñéíÞ»
25 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2005ÐÁÓÏÊ: Ïé ðñïêëÞóåéò ôçò ÍÝáò Åðï÷ÞòÅöçìåñßäá «Ôï ÂÞìá»
12 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2005ÁðÜíôçóç óôçí åñþôçóç ôçò ÇÌÅÑÇÓÉÁÓ
1 Éáíïõáñßïõ 2005Ïéêïíïìßá : ÍÝåò ÐñïêëÞóåéòÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
Áñ÷åßï: 2004
19 Íïåìâñßïõ 2004ÐÁÓÏÊ êáé ÓõíáóðéóìüòÅöçìåñßäá «¸èíïò»
10 Íïåìâñßïõ 2004ÅîùôåñéêÞ ÐïëéôéêÞ ÷ùñßò ÐõîßäáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
9 Íïåìâñßïõ 2004Óêüðéá êáé ÅëëçíéêÞ ÐïëéôéêÞ óôá ÂáëêÜíéáÅöçìåñßäá «Ôï ÂÞìá»
5 Íïåìâñßïõ 2004ÄÞëùóçÅöçìåñßäá «Ôï ÂÞìá»
1 Ïêôùâñßïõ 2004ÄÞëùóçÅöçìåñßäá «Ôá ÍÝá»
20 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2004Áíåýèõíåò ÅîáããåëßåòÅöçìåñßäá «Åëåõèåñïôõðßá»
2 Óåðôåìâñßïõ 2004Ãéá ìéá ÐïéïôéêÞ ÁíÜðôõîçÅöçìåñßäá «Çìåñçóßá»
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6 Äåêåìâñßïõ 2013, Éóôïóåëßäá «Project-Syndicate» The Re-Division of Europe
ATHENS – As the eurozone debt crisis has steadily widened the divide between Europe¢s stronger northern economies and the weaker, more debt-laden economies in the south (with France a kind of no man¢s land economy in between), one question is on everyone¢s mind: Can Europe¢s monetary union – indeed, the European Union itself – survive? While the eurozone¢s northern members enjoy low borrowing costs and stable growth, its southern members face high borrowing costs, recession, and deep cuts in incomes and social spending. They have also suffered substantial output losses, and have far higher unemployment rates than their northern counterparts. Unemployment in the eurozone as a whole averages about 12%, compared to more than 25% in Spain and Greece (where youth unemployment now stands at 60%). Indeed, while aggregate per capita income in the eurozone remains at 2007 levels, Greece has been pushed back to 2000 levels, and Italy today finds itself somewhere in 1997. Europe¢s southern economies owe their deteriorating circumstances largely to excessive austerity and the absence of measures to compensate for demand losses. Currency devaluation – which would boost the competitiveness of domestic industry by lowering export prices – obviously is not an option in a monetary union. But Europe¢s stronger economies have resisted pressure to undertake more expansionary fiscal policies, which would lift demand for its weaker economies¢ exports. The European Central Bank did not follow the lead of other advanced-country central banks, such as the US Federal Reserve, in pursuing a more aggressive monetary policy to cut borrowing costs. And no financing has been offered for public-investment projects in the southern countries. Moreover, fiscal and financial measures aimed at strengthening eurozone governance have been inadequate to restore confidence in the euro. And Europe¢s troubled economies have been slow to undertake structural reforms; improvements in competitiveness reflect wage and salary cuts, rather than productivity gains. While these policies – or lack thereof – have impeded recovery in the southern countries, they have yielded reasonable growth and very low unemployment rates for the northern economies. In fact, by maintaining large trade surpluses, Germany is exporting unemployment and recession to its weaker neighbors. As Europe¢s north-south divide widens, so will interest-rate differentials; as a result, conducting a single monetary policy will become increasingly difficult. In the recession-afflicted south, continued fiscal consolidation will demand new austerity measures – a prospect that citizens will reject. Such impasses will lead to social tension and political crisis, or to new requests for financial assistance, which the northern countries are certain to resist. Either way, financial and political instability could lead to the common currency¢s collapse. As long as the eurozone establishes a kind of wary equilibrium, with the weaker economies stabilizing at low growth rates, current policies are unlikely to change. Incremental intergovernmental solutions will continue to prevail, and Europe¢s economy will soldier on, steadily losing ground to the US and emerging economies like China and India. For now, Germany is satisfied with the status quo, enjoying stable growth and retaining control over domestic economic policy, while the ECB¢s limited powers and strict mandate to maintain price stability ease fears of inflation. But how will Germany react when the north-south divide becomes large enough to threaten the euro¢s survival? The answer depends on how Germans perceive their long-term interests, and on the choices of Chancellor Angela Merkel. Her recent election to a third term offers room for bolder policy choices, while forcing her to focus more on her legacy – specifically, whether she wishes to be associated with the euro¢s collapse or with its revival. Two outcomes now seem possible. One scenario is that the economic and political crisis in the southern countries spreads, inciting fears in Germany that the country faces a long-term threat. This could drive Germany to withdraw from the eurozone and form a smaller currency union with other northern countries. The second possibility is that the crisis remains relatively contained, leading Germany to pursue closer economic and fiscal union. This would entail the mutualization of some national debt and the transfer of economic-policy sovereignty to supranational European institutions. Of course, such a move would carry considerable political costs in Germany, where many taxpayers recoil at the notion of assuming the debts of the fiscally profligate southern countries, without considering how much Germany would benefit from a stable and dynamic monetary union. But a new grand coalition between Merkel and the Social Democrats could be sufficient to make this shift possible. Even so, there could be victims. Indeed, the continued failure of smaller countries like Greece and Cyprus to fulfill their commitments reinforces the impression that they will forever be dependent on financial assistance. The exit of one or two of these “undisciplined” countries could be a requirement for the German public to agree to such a policy shift. Europe¢s north-south divide has become a time bomb lying at the foundations of the currency union. Defusing it will require less austerity, more demand stimulus, greater investment support, deeper reforms, and meaningful progress toward economic and political union. One hopes that modest recovery in the south, aided by strong German leadership in the north, will steer Europe in the right direction. © 1995-2013 Project Syndicate